Amador Signals

The market, on one screen.

Goldman Sachs macro indicators and forecasts, rule-based alerts, live world markets, unusual options activity, insider filings and prediction-market odds. Built for context, not for calls: every panel shows its source and its delay.

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SPYS&P 500764.02▼ 1.18%
QQQNasdaq 100703.75▼ 2.96%
IWMRussell 2000276.50▲ 0.01%
EFADeveloped ex-US103.14▼ 0.90%
EEMEmerging Mkts61.73▼ 2.90%
TLT20Y+ Treasuries81.73▲ 1.86%
IEF7–10Y Treasuries91.16▲ 1.03%
HYGHigh Yield77.09▲ 0.16%
GLDGold369.08▼ 2.61%
SLVSilver49.34▼ 5.59%
USOWTI Crude162.49▲ 1.72%
UUPUS Dollar28.89▼ 0.07%
BTCBitcoin81,179.46▼ 3.39%
ETHEther2,379.31▼ 3.74%
SOLSolana103.28▼ 3.35%
Alpaca Markets (real-time IEX)

SPYS&P 500764.02▼ 1.18%
QQQNasdaq 100703.75▼ 2.96%
IWMRussell 2000276.50▲ 0.01%
EFADeveloped ex-US103.14▼ 0.90%
EEMEmerging Mkts61.73▼ 2.90%
TLT20Y+ Treasuries81.73▲ 1.86%
IEF7–10Y Treasuries91.16▲ 1.03%
HYGHigh Yield77.09▲ 0.16%
GLDGold369.08▼ 2.61%
SLVSilver49.34▼ 5.59%
USOWTI Crude162.49▲ 1.72%
UUPUS Dollar28.89▼ 0.07%
BTCBitcoin81,179.46▼ 3.39%
ETHEther2,379.31▼ 3.74%
SOLSolana103.28▼ 3.35%
Alpaca Markets (real-time IEX)

Signal alerts

Rule-based alerts on Goldman Sachs macro indicators and GIR forecasts, highest priority first

Live

US financial conditions tightened
Medium
GS Financial Conditions Index at 98.80, +0.27 over the past month (higher = tighter).
GS FCI · Oct 21, 2026
US data surprises turned negative
Medium
GS MAP surprise index (21-day average) at -0.36, -1.08 over the month.
GS MAP · Oct 21, 2026
Global risk appetite fell sharply
Medium
GS Risk Appetite Indicator at -0.09, -0.92 over the month.
GS RAI · Oct 21, 2026
Social-media economic sentiment improved
Medium
GS US social-media sentiment index at -0.44, +0.33 over the month.
GS Social Sentiment · Oct 15, 2026
GS sees Brent crude lower in 12 months
Medium
GIR forecast $75 in 12 months vs $95 for 2026 Q4 (-21%, $/bbl).
GIR commodity forecasts · Oct 22, 2026
US growth nowcast steady at 3.3%
Info
GS Current Activity Indicator -0.1 pp versus the prior reading (annualized pace).
GS CAI · Oct 1, 2026
GS sees WTI crude lower in 12 months
Info
GIR forecast $70 in 12 months vs $85 for 2026 Q4 (-18%, $/bbl).
GIR commodity forecasts · Oct 22, 2026
GS sees Gold higher in 12 months
Info
GIR forecast $5,140 in 12 months vs $4,605 for 2026 Q4 (+12%, $/oz).
GIR commodity forecasts · Oct 22, 2026
GS forecasts USD/MXN at 17.25 in 12 months
Info
GIR FX forecast: 16.75 in 3 months, 17.25 in 12 months.
GIR FX forecasts · Oct 22, 2026

Goldman Sachs macro lens

Financial conditions, growth nowcast, data surprises, risk appetite, and GIR commodity and FX forecasts

Live

GS Fin. Conditions
GS_FCI
98.80
+0.27 1MOct 21, 26
GS Activity Nowcast
GS_CAI
3.3%
-0.1 priorOct 1, 26
GS Data Surprises
GS_MAP
-0.36
-1.08 1MOct 21, 26
GS Risk Appetite
GS_RAI
-0.09
-0.92 1MOct 21, 26
GS Social Sentiment
GS_SOCIAL
-0.44
+0.33 1MOct 15, 26

GIR commodity forecasts

Commodity	2026 Q4	12 months
Brent crude $/bbl	$95	$75
WTI crude $/bbl	$85	$70
Gold $/oz	$4,605	$5,140
Copper $/t	$14,550	$15,565

Spot forecasts published Oct 22, 2026.

GIR FX forecasts

Pair	3 months	12 months
USD/JPY	158.0	150.0
USD/MXN	16.75	17.25
USD/CAD	1.4000	1.3800
USD/BRL	4.7000	4.8000
USD/CNY	6.7000	6.4000

Published Oct 22, 2026.

Goldman Sachs data shown for research context; © Goldman Sachs. Forecasts are GIR's, not Amador's, and are not recommendations. Higher FCI readings mean tighter financial conditions; the activity nowcast is an annualized growth pace.

Analyst commentary · AI summary of Goldman Sachs and market data

Goldman Sachs indicates financial conditions tightened and the activity nowcast decreased.
Goldman Sachs reports data surprises turned negative and risk appetite fell sharply.
Major US equity indices declined, while longer-dated Treasuries saw gains.
Prediction markets show a high probability of no Fed change in October.

Written by an AI model (gemini-2.5-flash) from the data on this page, not by a human analyst · Oct 22, 4:57 PM EDT. May contain errors. Not investment advice.

World markets

Local index levels and US-listed country ETFs, refreshed every 15 seconds

Live

Live · updated 5:08:00 PM ETIndex levels delayed · country ETFs real-time (IEX)

Americas

US
United States
S&P 500 7,663.43
-1.21%
SPY $764.02 -1.18%
MX
Mexico
S&P/BMV IPC 69,889.73
-0.51%
EWW $74.99 -0.70%
CA
Canada
S&P/TSX 35,973.45
-0.97%
EWC $60.93 -0.64%
BR
Brazil
Ibovespa 204,120.12
-1.15%
EWZ $41.90 -1.43%
CL
Chile
MSCI IPSA 5,410.22
-1.88%
ECH $36.23 -2.66%
AR
Argentina
S&P Merval
-2.10%
ARGT $85.70 -2.10%
PE
Peru
MSCI nuam Peru General 2,852.85
-4.26%
EPU $84.44 -4.81%

Europe

GB
United Kingdom
FTSE 100 10,725.03
-0.26%
EWU $47.84 +0.31%
DE
Germany
DAX 25,371.75
-1.07%
EWG $41.36 -0.83%
FR
France
CAC 40 7,811.26
-1.39%
EWQ $41.81 -0.70%
ES
Spain
IBEX 35 18,913.50
-2.12%
EWP $57.51 -1.66%
IT
Italy
FTSE MIB 48,383.66
-2.54%
EWI $55.03 -2.27%

Asia-Pacific

JP
Japan
Nikkei 225 62,907.84
-2.65%
EWJ $94.60 -1.17%
CN
China
Shanghai Composite 3,658.03
-2.07%
MCHI $49.03 -2.01%
HK
Hong Kong
Hang Seng 22,934.68
-3.91%
EWH $21.78 -1.07%
IN
India
Sensex 73,249.39
-0.82%
INDA $47.36 +0.13%
KR
South Korea
KOSPI 5,533.77
-3.52%
EWY $148.34 -5.41%
TW
Taiwan
TAIEX 46,041.43
-0.54%
EWT $103.99 -4.58%
AU
Australia
S&P/ASX 200 8,793.20
-0.27%
EWA $28.98 -0.87%

Middle East & Africa

ZA
South Africa
JSE All Share 108,525.49
-1.03%
EZA $63.76 -2.37%
SA
Saudi Arabia
Tadawul (TASI) 9,695.86
-2.32%
KSA $33.69 -2.53%

US indices, sectors and assets · real-time

QQQ-2.96%
Nasdaq 100
$703.75
DIA+0.04%
Dow Jones
$527.91
IWM+0.01%
Russell 2000
$276.50
XLK-3.28%
Technology
$182.33
XLF+1.14%
Financials
$56.66
XLE-0.84%
Energy
$67.58
XLV+1.35%
Health care
$181.33
XLI-0.92%
Industrials
$166.76
XLY-0.44%
Cons. discretionary
$115.02
XLP+3.28%
Cons. staples
$89.97
XLU+2.02%
Utilities
$42.86
XLB+0.78%
Materials
$51.71
XLRE+1.13%
Real estate
$42.53
XLC-1.42%
Communication
$107.43
TLT+1.86%
20Y+ Treasuries
$81.73
HYG+0.16%
High yield
$77.09
GLD-2.61%
Gold
$369.08
SLV-5.59%
Silver
$49.34
USO+1.72%
WTI crude
$162.49
UNG-0.60%
Natural gas
$9.90
UUP-0.07%
US dollar
$28.89

Macro dashboard

Rates, inflation, labor and financial conditions

Live

10Y Treasury
DGS10
5.13%
+0.17 1MOct 21, 26
2Y Treasury
DGS2
4.81%
+0.05 1MOct 21, 26
10Y–2Y Curve
T10Y2Y
0.32pp
+0.12 1MOct 21, 26
Fed Funds
DFF
3.88%
±0 1MOct 21, 26
CPI Inflation
CPIAUCSL
3.7% y/y
+0.4 priorSep 1, 26
Unemployment
UNRATE
4.2%
+0.1 priorSep 1, 26
10Y Breakeven
T10YIE
2.37%
+0.03 1MOct 21, 26
Financial Conditions
NFCI
-0.50
+0.01 priorOct 16, 26

Options pulse

Est. call vs put premium traded today

Live

← Put premiumCall premium →

AMD
-8.1%
-$472.9M
NFLX
+3.1%
-$314.3M
AVGO
-4.3%
-$250.5M
META
-7.0%
-$174.1M
AAPL
+1.2%
$165.9M
PLTR
-2.7%
$102.1M
TSLA
-3.1%
-$89.7M
AMZN
-4.6%
$86.2M
MSFT
-2.2%
$75.8M
NVDA
-4.4%
-$49.9M
COIN
-4.5%
-$37.5M
GOOGL
-3.1%
-$19M

Net = estimated call premium minus put premium traded today (volume × last price × 100). Premium is not direction: many large trades are hedges or spreads.

Unusual options activity

Contracts trading far above open interest

Live

Sort

Ticker	Contract	Vol	OI	Vol/OI	Est. premium	IV	OTM
AVGO	PUT$500 · 01/15/27	5,128	1,352	3.8×	$90.5M	–	+54.9%
META	PUT$765 · 10/23/26	7,040	1,740	4.0×	$84.5M	160%	+18.6%
META	PUT$770 · 10/23/26	6,266	1,587	3.9×	$75.6M	–	+19.4%
TSLA	PUT$380 · 10/23/26	78,521	5,644	13.9×	$58.1M	54%	+1.9%
TSLA	PUT$385 · 10/23/26	44,930	4,200	10.7×	$51.2M	55%	+3.2%
AVGO	PUT$460 · 11/20/26	2,975	265	11.2×	$41M	–	+42.5%
AMD	PUT$620 · 10/23/26	3,606	592	6.1×	$40.3M	160%	+22.5%
NFLX	PUT$100 · 01/15/27	11,273	2,939	3.8×	$37.3M	65%	+49.2%
AMD	PUT$610 · 10/23/26	3,440	699	4.9×	$36.6M	161%	+20.6%
NFLX	PUT$95 · 12/18/26	12,360	3,232	3.8×	$34.4M	73%	+41.7%
AMD	PUT$580 · 10/23/26	4,733	1,108	4.3×	$34M	130%	+14.6%
AMD	PUT$600 · 10/23/26	3,205	782	4.1×	$29.7M	167%	+18.6%
TSLA	PUT$375 · 10/23/26	67,580	6,585	10.3×	$29.4M	54%	+0.5%
AVGO	PUT$430 · 11/20/26	2,718	235	11.6×	$29.2M	–	+33.3%
AMD	PUT$585 · 10/23/26	3,238	834	3.9×	$26.8M	167%	+15.6%
NVDA	PUT$215 · 10/23/26	71,381	17,197	4.2×	$26.2M	46%	+1.4%
NFLX	PUT$90 · 12/18/26	11,082	2,952	3.8×	$25.7M	58%	+34.3%
AAPL	CALL$345 · 10/23/26	59,784	16,293	3.7×	$25.4M	29%	-0.9%
TSLA	PUT$377.5 · 10/23/26	43,116	1,532	28.1×	$24.8M	54%	+1.2%
AAPL	CALL$347.5 · 10/23/26	98,374	11,795	8.3×	$24.5M	27%	-0.2%
TSLA	PUT$382.5 · 10/23/26	26,662	1,450	18.4×	$24.4M	53%	+2.5%
TSLA	PUT$387.5 · 10/23/26	17,485	1,793	9.8×	$22.9M	52%	+3.9%
AMD	PUT$590 · 10/23/26	2,612	702	3.7×	$21.7M	159%	+16.6%
AMD	PUT$595 · 10/23/26	2,294	562	4.1×	$20.5M	174%	+17.6%
TSLA	PUT$390 · 10/23/26	12,818	1,912	6.7×	$20.1M	43%	+4.6%
AMD	PUT$500 · 10/23/26	41,036	4,606	8.9×	$19.4M	78%	-1.2%
NFLX	PUT$107 · 12/18/26	4,715	1,210	3.9×	$18.7M	71%	+59.7%
NVDA	PUT$212.5 · 10/23/26	85,045	11,090	7.7×	$18M	46%	+0.2%
META	PUT$650 · 10/23/26	20,842	8,676	2.4×	$16.7M	55%	+0.8%
TSLA	PUT$370 · 10/23/26	69,056	6,405	10.8×	$15.8M	55%	-0.8%

Screen: ≥1,000 contracts, volume ≥2× open interest, est. premium ≥$500K. Delayed data; not a recommendation.

Insider filings

Latest SEC Form 4 transactions, open-market buys first

Live

9 open-market buys in latest filings

Ticker	Insider	Type	Shares	Price	Value	Trade date
RAPP Rapport Therapeutics, Inc.	PAUL STEVEN M Director	Open-market buy	35,714	$27.28	$974.3K	2026-10-22
RAPP Rapport Therapeutics, Inc.	MARAGANORE JOHN Director	Open-market buy	8,239	$26.38	$217.3K	2026-10-22
RAPP Rapport Therapeutics, Inc.	Young Wendy B. Director	Open-market buy	3,789	$26.39	$100K	2026-10-22
RAPP Rapport Therapeutics, Inc.	Silva Paul M Director	Open-market buy	3,680	$27.07	$99.6K	2026-10-22
XFLT XAI Floating Rate & Alternative Income Trust	Spence John Yogi Other	Open-market buy	2,000	$17.07	$34.1K	2026-10-21
RAPP Rapport Therapeutics, Inc.	MARAGANORE JOHN Director	Open-market buy	1,172	$26.92	$31.5K	2026-10-22
VKI Invesco Advantage Municipal Income Trust II	BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ 10% owner	Open-market buy	105	$8.03	$843.2	2026-10-20
NMS Nuveen Minnesota Quality Municipal Income Fund	BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ 10% owner	Open-market buy	82	$10.25	$840.5	2026-10-20
NMS Nuveen Minnesota Quality Municipal Income Fund	BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ 10% owner	Open-market buy	18	$10.21	$183.9	2026-10-20
SRZN Surrozen, Inc./DE	COLUMN GROUP III GP, LP 10% owner	Option exercise	548,653	$11.60	$6.4M	2026-10-20
SRZN Surrozen, Inc./DE	Kutzkey Tim Director	Option exercise	548,653	$11.60	$6.4M	2026-10-20
SRZN Surrozen, Inc./DE	COLUMN GROUP III GP, LP 10% owner	Option exercise	517,241	$11.60	$6M	2026-10-20
SRZN Surrozen, Inc./DE	Kutzkey Tim Director	Option exercise	517,241	$11.60	$6M	2026-10-20
SRZN Surrozen, Inc./DE	COLUMN GROUP III GP, LP 10% owner	Option exercise	485,830	$11.60	$5.6M	2026-10-20
SRZN Surrozen, Inc./DE	Kutzkey Tim Director	Option exercise	485,830	$11.60	$5.6M	2026-10-20
ALLY Ally Financial Inc.	Timmerman Douglas R. President, DFS	Tax withholding	98,329	$37.97	$3.7M	2026-10-20
BB BLACKBERRY Ltd	GIAMATTEO JOHN JOSEPH CEO & President, Secure Comm.	Open-market sale	151,000	$9.40	$1.4M	2026-10-21
ALLY Ally Financial Inc.	Patterson Kathleen L. Chief HR & Corp Citizenship	Tax withholding	31,047	$37.97	$1.2M	2026-10-20
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp	ROTHBLATT MARTINE A Chairperson & CEO	Option exercise	9,500	$117.76	$1.1M	2026-10-21
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp	ROTHBLATT MARTINE A Chairperson & CEO	Open-market sale	1,702	$557.25	$948.4K	2026-10-21
BB BLACKBERRY Ltd	GIAMATTEO JOHN JOSEPH CEO & President, Secure Comm.	Open-market sale	99,000	$8.74	$865.3K	2026-10-22
ALLY Ally Financial Inc.	Hutchinson Russell E. Chief Financial Officer	Tax withholding	21,074	$37.97	$800.2K	2026-10-20
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp	ROTHBLATT MARTINE A Chairperson & CEO	Open-market sale	1,253	$563.43	$706K	2026-10-21
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp	ROTHBLATT MARTINE A Chairperson & CEO	Open-market sale	1,137	$558.32	$634.8K	2026-10-21
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp	ROTHBLATT MARTINE A Chairperson & CEO	Open-market sale	960	$562.54	$540K	2026-10-21
ALLY Ally Financial Inc.	Patterson Kathleen L. Chief HR & Corp Citizenship	Open-market sale	12,831	$38.65	$495.9K	2026-10-21
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp	ROTHBLATT MARTINE A Chairperson & CEO	Open-market sale	820	$560.50	$459.6K	2026-10-21
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp	ROTHBLATT MARTINE A Chairperson & CEO	Open-market sale	768	$564.63	$433.6K	2026-10-21
SBET Sharplink, Inc.	Sheffield Matthew A Chief Investment Officer	Tax withholding	53,211	$7.87	$418.8K	2026-10-20
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp	ROTHBLATT MARTINE A Chairperson & CEO	Open-market sale	743	$559.25	$415.5K	2026-10-21
ALLY Ally Financial Inc.	Hall William Cadik Jr. President - Corporate Finance	Tax withholding	10,614	$37.97	$403K	2026-10-20
CHYM Chime Financial, Inc.	King Ryan A Co-Founder	Open-market sale	11,318	$31.03	$351.2K	2026-10-20
ALLY Ally Financial Inc.	Richard Stephanie N Chief Risk Officer	Tax withholding	9,032	$37.97	$342.9K	2026-10-20
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp	ROTHBLATT MARTINE A Chairperson & CEO	Open-market sale	567	$556.41	$315.5K	2026-10-21
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp	ROTHBLATT MARTINE A Chairperson & CEO	Open-market sale	550	$555.19	$305.4K	2026-10-21
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp	ROTHBLATT MARTINE A Chairperson & CEO	Open-market sale	480	$565.36	$271.4K	2026-10-21
HERZ Herzfeld Credit Income Fund, Inc	HERZFELD THOMAS J Other	Disposition to issuer	14,147	$18.20	$257.5K	2026-10-20
PLXS PLEXUS CORP	Kelsey Todd P. President & CEO	Open-market sale	779	$238.47	$185.8K	2026-10-21
PLXS PLEXUS CORP	Kelsey Todd P. President & CEO	Open-market sale	721	$239.92	$173K	2026-10-21
BKE BUCKLE INC	WERTH SCOTT A SVP Stores	Open-market sale	2,500	$46.75	$116.9K	2026-10-22

Prediction markets

Crowd-implied odds on macro and market events

Live

Fed Decision in October?
- No change
  94%
- 25 bps increase
  6%
- 50+ bps increase
  0%
24h volume $3.6M
Fed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase
  72%
- No change
  24%
- 50+ bps increase
  3%
24h volume $174.3K
Fed Decision in January?
- No change
  68%
- 25 bps increase
  28%
- 50+ bps increase
  1%
24h volume $112.5K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
- ↑ $100
  100%
- ↓ $95
  54%
- ↑ $105
  40%
24h volume $278.9K

Market tide

Net call vs net put premium across all listed options, intraday

Partner data

Coming with Amador Signals Pro

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Congressional trades

Periodic transaction reports

Partner data

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Dark pool prints

Largest off-exchange blocks

Partner data

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Sources. Quotes: Alpaca Markets (IEX). Macro: FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Options: Cboe delayed quotes (~15 min). Insider filings: SEC EDGAR. Prediction markets: Polymarket. Goldman Sachs Marquee data appears only where licensed. Partner panels activate with a licensed provider.

Delays. Panels refresh on a cache of one to thirty minutes. Quotes may be delayed and may not reflect consolidated prices. Options premium is estimated from volume and last price.

Not advice. Signals are information, not recommendations. Unusual activity is often hedging. See disclosures.